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RB Fantasy Finishes vs ADP 2021 - 2025
It's time for running backs! We now have fresh data from the 2025 season to dive into. Again, the whole point of these articles to do understand why certain players and positions are drafted the way they are. Also, to figure out how to avoid busts and find value later in drafts. Key takeaways will be at the end of the article. Here we go! All data is half-point PPR from FantasyData and FantasyPros. Let's dive in. Players who are highlighted green: outperformed relative to the

Owen Klukas
Aug 246 min read


QB Fantasy Finishes vs ADP 2020 -2024
It's that time again. We have 5 new seasons of data to decipher since my last article of this kind back in 2020. I am determined to find new insights on comparing players' average draft position to their fantasy finish. We all feel constrained to ADP every season. However, players always finish in places we could never expect going into the season. The Quarterbacks will be part one of three articles that will all tie into each other. All data is half-point PPR from FantasyDat

Owen Klukas
Aug 20, 20255 min read


Fantasy Steal of 2022
Steve from Fantasy Guides gave me great opportunity to write about who will be my fantasy steal in 2022 drafts. I chose Jaylen Waddle and had an absolute blast looking through the numbers and finding some juicy tidbits. Check it out! Championships await. Link to the article: https://shopfantasyguides.com/blogs/articles/fantasy-steal-of-2022 Give @fantasyguides a follow on instagram while you're at! He's got some amazing content.

Owen Klukas
Mar 11, 20221 min read


Feels Good to be Right Once in a While
I made a take back on December 18th, 2020. I predicated that Deebo Samuel would be the steal of fantasy football drafts in 2021. I never publicly posted the take. I thought that now would be the perfect time to share my predication. My short article on Deebo Samuel is in an email thread just in case someone wants to see the evidence on when it was written. Let's take a look. Deebo Samuel will be the steal of drafts in 2021 Deebo Samuel is easily one of my favorite players he

Owen Klukas
Jan 12, 20223 min read


The Origins
I still have such vivid memories of my first season playing fantasy football. It was 2011, a heartbreaking year of sports, and I was 14 years old. Interestingly enough, I believe I decided to try out fantasy because of a commercial I saw on TV. I joined a random NFL.com league and I was instantly hooked. The year prior, me and my brother would make predictions on who would win each NFL game every week. Fantasy football took this to the next level and I loved it. The aspect

Owen Klukas
Oct 27, 20214 min read


Situation in Relation to Fantasy Finishes
Every year come draft time you have to split hairs when deciding between two incredibly closely ranked players. How do you decide between two talented players like D'andre Swift and Cam Akers? Should you try to differentiate them by looking at the amount of volume they'll receive or the quality of the team/offense they are on? At the top end of the draft all players are very talented so you have to look at different factors like situation and volume. I'm going to touch on sit

Owen Klukas
May 31, 20213 min read


History from my League of Record
Looking back at past success is the best predictor for future success. That is the intent I had going into this article. It's also interesting to look back at the DNA of Championship teams. Manually entering all the individual stats took some time but I hope that there are at least a couple lessons to be learned from the trends of past years. All of the stats I used in this article I retrieved from fantasydata.com which is an awesome source to use. Here we go 2013: Team Neck

Owen Klukas
Aug 18, 20205 min read


Why Do Highly Drafted Players Disappoint Every Year?
Learning how to avoid drafting a player who is being heavily over-drafted might be the most important skill to acquire when drafting a fantasy team every year. My last article looked at players who have been drafted high and lived up to expectations and also, players who were drafted late and outperformed their ADP. However, there is one more type of player that I will expound upon in this article. It is the player who is overhyped and over-drafted but leaves every fantasy ow

Owen Klukas
Jun 19, 20209 min read


Comparing Fantasy Finishes with ADP Over a 5 Year Span!
Winter only felt like it lasted a couples years but it's finally starting to feel like spring has arrived. And now we are experiencing unprecedented times and have been thrusted into a state of dystopia with no real end in sight. Nevertheless, the National Football League is seemingly continuing with a modified version of the draft and we just witnessed one of the craziest free agency periods in NFL history. Let's just hope the NFL season will be able to start on time with no

Owen Klukas
Apr 22, 202013 min read


Mid-Season Review Part 2
Part 2 is here and little overdue. There are still a number of topics I still want to touch on. Half way through the season I love to look back on the draft to see where I went wrong and how to learn from any mistakes I made. I always have to be careful about hindsight bias and not being too hard on myself, which I admit, is a difficult thing to avoid. Some events that occur throughout the duration of an NFL season are impossible to predict and thus should be accepted and m

Owen Klukas
Nov 20, 20194 min read


Mid-Season Review Part 1
The all important playoff push is upon us. But before I get into the keys for securing a playoff spot, let us review the first half of the fantasy season. Going into the season I said to pump the brakes on Derrick Henry, Jordan Howard, and Calvin Ridley. Henry has proved me wrong so far and has been a pleasant surprise for fantasy owners because of his newfound consistency. Calvin Ridley on the other hand has been very up and down. In the three weeks where he has not found th

Owen Klukas
Oct 27, 20192 min read


Top 20 Rankings for QB's Running Backs Wide Receivers Tight Ends (Standard Scoring) UPDATED Aug 29
QBs 1) Patrick Mahomes 2) Aaron Rodgers 3) Deshaun Watson 4) Baker Mayfield 5) Carson Wentz 6) Matt Ryan 7) Kyler Murray 8) Russell Wilson 9) Jameis Winston 10) Drew Brees 11) Jared Goff 12) Cam Newton 13) Ben Roethlisberger 14) Lamar Jackson 15) Dak Prescott 16) Phillip Rivers 17) Josh Allen 18) Jimmy Garoppolo 19) Kirk Cousins 20) Tom Brady RBs 1) Saquon Barkley 2) Alvin Kamara 3) Christian McCaffrey 4) Ezekiel Elliot 5) David Johnson 6) Le'Veon Bell 7) Joe Mixon 8) James C

Owen Klukas
Aug 29, 20191 min read


How to Approach your Fantasy Football Draft in 2019
When I look at the list of the top fantasy players heading into 2019, the amount of talent immediately jumps off the page at me. I remember the days when Arian Foster and Chris Johnson were above and beyond basically every other player. This year we have guys like David Johnson who you can get at the 5th or 6th spot in the first round. DJ is a guy who is capable of a 1000 rushing yards and 1000 receiving yards in a single season and almost accomplished the feat back in 2016 w

Owen Klukas
Aug 8, 20196 min read


Deceiving or Believing
Let's start with the negative here. Every year in fantasy football there are a handful of players who appear at first glance to be producing at a high level. However, these players can turn out to be a mirage and destroy your chances to hoist the championship trophy at the end of the fantasy season. I'm not saying don't draft these players. Rather, use caution when draft day arrives. Let's dive into 3 players who stats were deceiving last year and where you should draft them

Owen Klukas
Jul 28, 20198 min read
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