History from my League of Record

Looking back at past success is the best predictor for future success. That is the intent I had going into this article. It's also interesting to look back at the DNA of Championship teams. Manually entering all the individual stats took some time but I hope that there are at least a couple lessons to be learned from the trends of past years. All of the stats I used in this article I retrieved from fantasydata.com which is an awesome source to use. Here we go

2013: Team Neck Beards

Total Team Points: 1731.36

QB = 287.94 17%

RB = 600.9 35%

WR = 471.2 27%

TE = 146.2 8%

D/K = 225 13%

2014: The Big O

Total Team Points: 1785.48

QB = 292.88 16%

RB = 466.7 26%

WR = 524.6 29%

TE = 186.4 10%

D/K = 315 18%

2015: Gwuavin

Total Team Points: 1691.42

QB = 252.02 15%

RB = 506.7 30%

WR = 510.2 30%

TE = 105.5 6%

D/K = 317 19%

2016*: Benty Milan

Total Team Points: 1776.6

QB = 311.36 18%

RB = 753.3 42%

WR = 314.1 18%

TE = 113.9 6%

D/K = 284 16%

*Went from 8 to 10 players in 2016

2017: The Big O

Total Team Points: 1457.34

QB = 247.15 17%

RB = 540.5 37%

WR = 339.5 23%

TE = 87.2 6%

D/K = 243 17%

2018*: The Big O

Total Team Points: 1733.76

QB = 427.12 25%

RB = 593.34 34%

WR = 454.7 26%

TE = 84.6 5%

D = 174 10%

*Eliminated K and added an extra flex

2019*: Eiferted

Total Team Points: 1679.38

QB* = 506.56 30%

RB = 724.22 43%

WR = 324.2 19%

TE = 124.4 7%

*Two QB roster spots

*Eliminated Defense

Average proportion of points from each Championship team excluding Defense and Kickers

QB = 22%

RB = 41%

WR = 29%

TE = 8%

2013: Team Neck Beards

Draft

Position Finish Total Points

1. RB 4th 239.3

2. WR 5th 205.5

3. RB 30th 117.5

4. QB 4th 292.58

5. WR 14th 164.4

6. TE 16th 83.2

7. WR 7th 198.9

8. RB 42nd 88.6

9. D 18th 117

10. QB 11th 260.84

11. WR 24th 135.8

12. TE 38th 43.2

13. WR 110th 33.6

14. RB 22nd 137.6

15. K 22nd 114

Starting Lineup in Championship Matchup

QB 5th 288.14

RB 2nd 278.6

RB 12th 184.4

WR 5th 205.5

WR 8th 194.6

TE 3rd 150.8

RB 16th 166.9

K 7th 144

D 4th 170

2 originally drafted players on final roster

2014: The Big O

Draft

Position Finish Total Points

1. WR 14th 155.7

2. RB 89th 27.4

3. RB 18th 144.9

4. TE 1st 184.4

5. WR 6th 202.4

6. QB 15th 251.58

7. RB 20th 131.5

8. WR 55th 88.4

9. D 23rd 103

10. WR 26th 132.1

11. RB 50th 67

12. K 16th 120

13. RB 23rd 121.5

14. WR 56th 87.9

15. RB 91st 24.3

Championship Lineup

QB 1st 354.14

RB 24th 121

RB 6th 230.6

WR 4th 228

WR 14th 155.7

TE 1st 184.4

WR 6th 202.4

K 2nd 156

D 3rd 167

4 originally drafted players on roster

2015: Gwuavin

Draft

Position Finish Total Points

1. RB 9th 170.7

2. WR 2nd 245.1

3. WR 28th 129.9

4. RB 43rd 91.4

5. QB 34th 91.36

6. RB 61st 59.7

7. WR 47th 94.5

8. RB 26th 119.9

9. TE 26th 61.9

10. RB 49th 83.7

11. WR 17th 156.2

12. K 15th 116

13. D 3rd 181

14. QB 10th 288.28

15. WR 146th 12.7

Championship Lineup

QB 5th 309.24

RB 3rd 199.3

RB 7th 173.8

WR 17th 156.2

WR 4th 224

TE 4th 150.4

WR 26th 139.9

K 2nd 150

D 1st 186

1 originally drafted player on final roster

2016: Benty Milan

Draft

Position Finish Total Points

1. RB 1st 327.8

2. RB 72nd 38.8

3. WR 8th 168.3

4. RB 13th 175.2

5. TE 24th 69.4

6. QB 15th 258.56

7. WR 23rd 132.1

8. RB 51st 74.5

9. WR 36th 119.4

10. WR 56th 88.8

11. TE 4th 124.3

12. QB 6th 286.88

13. D 22nd 91

14. WR 80th 62.6

15. K 8th 133

Championship Lineup

QB 15th 258.56

RB 3rd 248.3

RB 1st 327.8

WR 5th 182.8

WR 53rd 94.1

TE 4th 124.3

RB 14th 165.1

K 7th 138

D 17th 100

3 originally drafted players on final roster

2017: The Big O

Draft

Position Finish Total Points

1. WR 20th 132.1

2. RB 10th 176.7

3. WR 8th 154.5

4. RB 3rd 242.2

5. QB 22nd 201.66

6. RB 6th 220

7. TE 45th 28.6

8. RB 171st -0.20

9. WR 38th 99.2

10. WR 40th 94.3

11. WR 102nd 35.5

12. RB 4th 233.4

13. RB 75th 38.4

14. D 15th 112

15. K 28th 77

Championship Lineup

QB 13th 249.68

RB 2nd 256.6

RB 3rd 242.2

WR 38th 99.2

WR 21st 132

TE 5th 109.6

WR 43rd 90.8

D 8th 136

K 13th 127

3 originally drafted players on final roster

2018: The Big O

Draft

Position Finish Total Points

1. RB 37th 98.4

2. RB 31st 112

3. WR 1st 241

4. RB 13th 186.36

5. WR 41st 98.3

6. WR 27th 118.6

7. RB 25th 132.1

8. WR 26th 120.3

9. RB 19th 161.6

10. WR 77th 64.6

11. QB 1st 417.08

12. RB 17th 162.94

13. WR 52nd 87.22

14. TE 4th 156.2

15. D 3rd 146

Championship Lineup

QB 1st 417.08

RB 13th 186.36

RB 31st 112

WR 1st 241

WR 36th 106.4

TE 5th 125.6

RB 57th 63.5

RB 51st 76.5

D 1st 187

6 originally drafted players on final roster

2019: Eiferted

Draft

Position Finish Total Points

1. RB 16th 167.52

2. RB 13th 183.4

3. WR 148th 12.1

4. WR 15th 153.2

5. QB 9th 278.38

6. RB 34th 111.1

7. RB 35th 110

8. RB 62nd 50.4

9. QB 53rd 12.74

10. WR 54th 84.8

11. TE 78th 10.1

12. WR 92nd 41.4

13. WR 30th 129.1

14. RB DNP

15. RB 28th 130

Championship Lineup

QB 18th 235.5

QB 9th 278.38

RB 8th 216.5

RB 28th 130

WR 24th 133.9

WR 30th 129.1

TE 6th 124.6

RB 3rd 265.8

RB 20th 151.2

4 originally drafted players on final roster

A Couple Takeaways:

• Average of 3 out of the 15 originally drafted players left on final championship roster

• 5 out of 7 championship teams got the most points from the RB position

• However, 5 of the 7 championship teams' biggest bust in the first 4 rounds was a RB

• You can draft a below average team and still win a championship

• In 2018 I drafted multiple busts early and had a below average draft. However, I hit on the Tyreek Hill and Patty Mahomes stack. Sometimes that's all you need in a draft is just to hit on only a couple picks. I also drafted Eric Ebron in the 14th round who finished as the TE 4 that year but made a very poor choice of dropping him before week 1

• The most the RB position popped was 43% of Eiferted team points in 2019

• The most the WR position popped was 30% of Gwauvin's team points in 2015

• The most the TE position popped was 10% of The Big O's team points in 2014

• The most the QB position popped excluding the one year we had 2 QBs was 25% of The Big O's team points in 2018

• Each year there is plenty of variance between what positions are contributing the most in the champions' final starting lineup. There will never be one way to win.

• Late late round QBs have a very high success rate. 2018: round 11 QB1 2016: 12th round QB6 2015: 14th Round QB10

• Each year the champion finished with a top 6 TE yet in 2013, 2015, 2017 and 2019 the best TE each team drafted was 16th, 26th, 45th, and 78th respectively. That just shows how easy it is to acquire a top TE after the draft.